Citation

Lösel F, Link E, Schmucker M, Bender D, Breuer M, Carl L, Endres J, Lauchs L. Sex. Abuse 2019; ePub(ePub): ePub.

Affiliation

Institute of Psychology, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nürnberg, Germany.

Copyright

(Copyright © 2019, SAGE Publishing)

DOI

10.1177/1079063219871576

PMID

31451086

Abstract

Although there is less continuity of sexual offending in the life course than stereotypes suggest, treatment should lead to a further reduction of reoffending. Contrary to this aim, a recent large British study using propensity score matching (PSM) showed some negative effects of the core sex offender treatment program (SOTP) in prisons. International meta-analyses on the effects of sex offender treatment revealed that there is considerable variety in the results, and methodological aspects and the context play a significant role. Therefore, this study compared different designs in the evaluation of sex offender treatment in German prisons. PSM was compared with an exact matching (EM) by the Static-99 in a sample of 693 sex offenders from Bavarian prisons. Most results were similar for both methods and not significant due to low base rates. There was a treatment effect at p <.05 on general recidivism in the EM and at p =.06 on serious reoffending in the PSM. For sexual recidivism, EM showed a negative trend, whereas PSM suggested the opposite. Overall, the study underlines the need for more replications of evaluations of routine practice, methodological comparisons, sensitive outcome criteria, and differentiated policy information.

Language: en

Keywords

evaluation design; prison; propensity score matching; sex offender treatment