Citation

Karabuk S, Manzour H. Transp. Res. E Logist. Transp. Rev. 2019; 124: 128-151.

Copyright

(Copyright © 2019, Elsevier Publishing)

DOI

10.1016/j.tre.2019.02.005

PMID

unavailable

Abstract

This paper introduces a multi-stage optimization model that identifies an optimal evacuation plan in response to spatial-temporal weather-events with track uncertainty. We establish how a multi-stage model can effectively take into account track uncertainty to generate a better evacuation plan. In particular, we study evacuation management for hazardous convective weather events (e.g., tornadoes) that cause hundreds of fatalities in the US every year. The common practice against a tornado threat is shelter-in-place. In our computational results, we quantify the benefits and costs of evacuation as a response policy in comparison to the status quo policy, i.e., shelter-in-place.

Language: en

Keywords

Evacuation management; Linear programming; Multi-stage decision model; Scenario tree; Stochastic programming