Citation

Kirkpatrick DLI. Def. Peace Econ. 1996; 7(4): 351-356.

Copyright

(Copyright © 1996, Informa - Taylor and Francis Group)

DOI

10.1080/10430719608404863

PMID

unavailable

Abstract

This paper describes a stochastic simulation of one of the key naval operations in World War II, and shows how the result of that operation might have differed considerably from the historical outcome. The simulation demonstrates that it is never possible to predict with confidence the results of military operations involving a few high-value units.