Citation

Liu HB, He XH, Shen SF, Tong JJ. Hedongli Gongcheng 2006; 27(3): 53-56.

Affiliation

Shanghai Nuclear Engineering Research and Design Institute, Shanghai 200233, China

Copyright

(Copyright © 2006, Gai Kan)

DOI

unavailable

PMID

unavailable

Abstract

Human error data is an important issue of human reliability analysis (HRA). Using of Bayesian parameter estimation, which can use multiple information, such as the historical data of NPP and expert judgment data to modify the human error data, could get the human error data reflecting the real situation of NPP more truly. This paper, using the numeric compute program developed by the authors, presents some typical examples to illustrate the process of the Bayesian parameter estimation in HRA and discusses the effect of different modification data on the Bayesian parameter estimation.