Citation

Ennis JR, Wackett DN, Mitchell KJ. J. R .Stat. Soc. Ser. A Stat. Soc. 1991; 154(2): 269-286.

Copyright

(Copyright © 1991, Royal Statistical Society (Great Britain), Publisher John Wiley and Sons)

DOI

unavailable

PMID

unavailable

Abstract

A high proportion of criminal arrests are of teenagers. This section of the population is in sharp decline. Analyses have therefore been carried out of the possible effect on offences and arrests of demographic change in the period to 1995. The various analyses are based on historical data for London. Where possible they take account of the level of police manpower as well as population. A major difficulty is found to be the underrecording of the true extent of crime. The tentative conclusion is that any reduction in recorded crime is likely to be much less dramatic than the statistics at first sight suggest.

Language: en