Citation

Xu X, Xu Q, Fang Z, Lyu W, Huang R. China Saf. Sci. J. 2021; 31(6): 170-175.

Copyright

(Copyright © 2021, China Occupational Safety and Health Association, Publisher Gai Xue bao)

DOI

10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2021.06.022

PMID

unavailable

Abstract

In order to reveal evolution trend of global terrorism, based on GTD, temporal and spatial evolution trends of terrorist attack numbers and causalities over last 50 years were analyzed. Then, characteristics of such attacks were analyzed from aspects of areas, weapon types and targets, and a quantitative model of casualty risk and a four-level risk classification standard for terrorist attacks were proposed. The results show that sub-Saharan Africa is at the highest risk geographically, while among all weapon types, transportation as a weapon features the highest risk of casualties. For attack targets, military, civilian and non-state militias are at the highest risk. In summary, global terrorist attacks still evolve in a grim way, and the quantitative model of casualties puts an end to subjectivity of experience assessment. © 2021 China Safety Science Journal. All rights reserved.

Language: zh