Citation

Ingrosso R, Lionello P, Miglietta MM, Salvadori G. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 2023; 23(7): 2443-2448.

Copyright

(Copyright © 2023, Copernicus GmbH on behalf of the European Geosciences Union)

DOI

10.5194/nhess-23-2443-2023

PMID

unavailable

Abstract

A methodological approach is proposed to provide an analytical (exponential-like) expression for the probability of occurrence of tornadoes as a function of the convective available potential energy and the wind shear (or, alternatively, the storm relative helicity). The resulting expression allows the probability of tornado occurrence to be calculated using variables that are computed by weather prediction and climate models, thus compensating for the lack of resolution needed to resolve these phenomena in numerical simulations.

Language: en