Citation

Akinyemi YC. Afr. Devel. Rev. 2023; 35(3): 308-319.

Copyright

(Copyright © 2023, John Wiley and Sons)

DOI

10.1111/1467-8268.12710

PMID

unavailable

Abstract

This paper examined the short- and long-run impacts of gasoline price, macroeconomic factors and road length on road traffic crashes, injuries and fatalities in Nigeria. Annual data from 1995 to 2019 and autoregressive distributed lag approach were employed.

RESULTS suggest that gasoline price, per capita income, road length and population density significantly influence road safety outcomes. Gasoline price has a positive short-run impact on crashes, injuries, and fatalities contrary to findings in developed countries. Road crashes tend to decrease when income increases in the short term. Population density leads to improvement in road safety outcomes while road length exacerbates it. Government's policy on gasoline price increase could worsen road safety outcomes unless it is accompanied by improvement in road infrastructure, safe public transport and economic growth,

Language: en

Keywords

ARDL approach; economic development; fatalities; gasoline prices; Nigeria; road crashes