Citation

Umit R. Polit. Sci. Res. Method. 2023; 11(1): 53-62.

Copyright

(Copyright © 2023, Cambridge University Press)

DOI

10.1017/psrm.2021.30

PMID

unavailable

Abstract

Security forces are one of the main targets of political violence. This paper examines the effect of their casualties on electoral outcomes. Between two general elections in 2015, Turkey experienced a series of attacks that killed 153 members of its security forces. Based on the as-if random assignment of their funerals across the country, I estimate that government vote share increases in the funeral places of security force terror victims. However, in the localities with recurring funerals, it decreases by a similar percentage. These non-linear changes provide strong evidence for the rally theory.

Language: en

Keywords

elections; Political violence; rally effect; terror attacks