Citation

Shang Q, Xie T, Yu Y. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2022; 19(17): e10903.

Copyright

(Copyright © 2022, MDPI: Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute)

DOI

10.3390/ijerph191710903

PMID

36078617

Abstract

Traffic accidents causing nonrecurrent congestion and road traffic injuries seriously affect public safety. It is helpful for traffic operation and management to predict the duration of traffic incidents. Most of the previous studies have been in a certain area with a single data source. This paper proposes a hybrid deep learning model based on multi-source incomplete data to predict the duration of countrywide traffic incidents in the U.S. The text data from the natural language description in the model were parsed by the latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA) topic model and input into the bidirectional long short-term memory (Bi-LSTM) and long short-term memory (LSTM) hybrid network together with sensor data for training. Compared with the four benchmark models and three state-of-the-art algorithms, the RMSE and MAE of the proposed method were the lowest. At the same time, the proposed model performed best for durations between 20 and 70 min. Finally, the data acquisition was defined as three phases, and a phased sequential prediction model was proposed under the condition of incomplete data. The results show that the model performance was better with the update of variables.

Language: en

Keywords

deep learning; duration prediction; hybrid network; intelligent transportation systems; traffic data fusion