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Journal Article

Citation

Ladios-Martin M, Cabañero-Martínez MJ, Fernández-de-Maya J, Ballesta-López FJ, Belso-Garzas A, Zamora-Aznar FM, Cabrero-Garcia J. J. Nurs. Manag. 2022; ePub(ePub): ePub.

Copyright

(Copyright © 2022, John Wiley and Sons)

DOI

10.1111/jonm.13760

PMID

35941786

Abstract

AIM: To create a model that detects the population at risk of falls taking into account fall prevention variable and to know the effect on the model´s performance when not considering it.

BACKGROUND: Traditionally, instruments for detecting fall risk are based on risk factors, not mitigating factors. Machine learning (ML), which allows working with a wider range of variables, could improve patient risk identification.

METHODS: The sample was composed of adult patients admitted to the Internal Medicine service (total, n=22515; training, n=11134; validation, n=11381). A retrospective cohort design was used and we applied ML technics. Variables were extracted from electronic medical records (EMR).

RESULTS: The Two-Class Bayes Point Machine algorithm was selected. Model-A (with fall prevention variable) obtained better results than Model-B (without it) in sensitivity (0.74 vs 0.71), specificity (0.82 vs 0.74) and AUC (0.82 vs 0.78).

CONCLUSIONS: Fall prevention was a key variable. The model that included it detected the risk of falls better than the model without it. IMPLICATIONS FOR NURSING MANAGEMENT: We created a decision-making support tool that helps nurses to identify patients at risk of falling. When it´s integrated in the EMR, it decreases nurses' workloads by not having to collect information manually.


Language: en

Keywords

Risk Assessment; Data mining; Falls; Machine Learning; Patient Safety

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