Citation

Kidando E, Kitali AE, Kutela B, Karaer A, Ghorbanzadeh M, Koloushani M, Ozguven EE. Transp. Res. Rec. 2022; 2676(2): 825-839.

Copyright

(Copyright © 2022, Transportation Research Board, National Research Council, National Academy of Sciences USA, Publisher SAGE Publishing)

DOI

10.1177/03611981211047836

PMID

unavailable

Abstract

This study explored the use of real-time traffic events and signal timing data to determine the factors influencing the injury severity of vehicle occupants at intersections. The analysis was based on 3 years (2017-2019) of crash and high-resolution traffic data. The best fit regression was first identified by comparing the conventional regression model and logistic models with random effect. The logistic model with a heavy-tailed distribution random effect best fitted the data set, and it was used in the variable assessment. The model results revealed that about 13.6% of the unobserved heterogeneity comes from site-specific variations, which underlines the need to use the logistic model with a random effect. Among the real-time traffic events and signal-based variables, approach delay and platoon ratio significantly influenced the injury severity of vehicle occupants at 90% Bayesian credible interval. Additionally, the manner of a collision, occupant seat position, number of vehicles involved in a crash, gender, age, lighting condition, and day of the week significantly affected the vehicle occupant injury. The study findings are anticipated to provide valuable insights to transportation agencies for developing countermeasures to mitigate the crash severity risk proactively.

Language: en

Keywords

Bayesian methods; crash analysis; crash severity; safety; safety performance and analysis