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Journal Article

Citation

Carter B, Fay EM. J. Appl. Secur. Res. 2019; 14(2): 140-168.

Copyright

(Copyright © 2019, Informa - Taylor and Francis Group)

DOI

10.1080/19361610.2019.1581875

PMID

unavailable

Abstract

This article explores the relationship between U.S. military activity and transnational terrorism. We employ a vector autoregressive model to assess the impact and persistence of terrorism on military activity, measured by changes in military expenditures, within the context of a dynamic system. The results indicate terrorism granger causes military expenditures, and the accompanying impulse response function demonstrates the effect of terrorism on military expenditures persists 3 years pending an initial 1-year lag in impact, on average. We argue that public opinion may act as an intervening variable between terrorism and military activity and find evidence to support this claim.


Language: en

Keywords

counterterrorism; expenditures; military; public opinion; Terrorism

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