Citation

Wallace R. J. Def. Model. Simul. Appl. Methodol. Technol. 2020; 17(2): 137-142.

Copyright

(Copyright © 2020, Society for Modeling and Simulation International, Publisher SAGE Publishing)

DOI

10.1177/1548512919843642

PMID

unavailable

Abstract

Real-time conflict takes place on Clausewitz landscapes most notably marked by fog-of-war and frictional limits, uncertainties, and misperceptions. Imposition of such factors on an opponent is, in fact, a standard tactic of confrontation, from courts of law to commerce, from political campaigns to the battlefield. Time-constrained optimization models of institutional effectiveness, based on 'anytime algorithm' methods, suggest that the burden of doctrinal groupthink may become synergistic with fog-of-war and friction to greatly compromise the ability of an institution to respond to shadow price demands imposed by a contending agent or environment. A different, and more direct, approach via a 'simple' stochastic model, provides similar insight.

Language: en