Citation

Kurakina E, Evtiukov S, Rajczyk J. Transp. Res. Proc. 2018; 36: 380-385.

Copyright

(Copyright © 2018, Elsevier Publications)

DOI

10.1016/j.trpro.2018.12.111

PMID

unavailable

Abstract

METHODS of forecasting of road accidents in the Driver - Vehicle - Road - Environment (DVRE) system are suggested. The statistical method of forecasting made it possible to evaluate the influence of various factors on the accident rate, resulting in evaluation of efficiency of the proposed measures to improve road safety. The visual method of conflict situations enabled obtaining information on the interaction of the state parameters of subsystems. The methods of potential danger allowed obtaining actual and predicted factors of road accident risks and fatalities in road accidents on the road section under study. The changes in accident rates after implementation of road safety measures have been assessed. An integrated approach to efficient examination of places of concentration of road traffic accidents with account of methods of accident prediction is offered.

Language: en

Keywords

accident; audit; driver-vehicle-road-environment system; forecasting; integrated approach; road traffic safety