Citation

Korchagin V, Pogodaev A, Kliavin V, Zelikov V. Transp. Res. Proc. 2018; 36: 308-314.

Copyright

(Copyright © 2018, Elsevier Publications)

DOI

10.1016/j.trpro.2018.12.090

PMID

unavailable

Abstract

Adopted in 2018 was the Strategy of Traffic Safety for 2018 - 2024 years which stipulates the social risk index making not more than 4 fatalities per 100.000 people, as well as the craving for zero fatality in road vehicle accidents by 2030, as a benchmark in 2024. A level of the tasks at hand requires significant increase in efficiency of traffic safety management which is possible by application of the expert system for traffic safety assurance. Given in the present article is an evaluation method of activities implementation investment attractiveness which allows determining the importance of some or other activity depending on the selected production rules in a limited budget. The fuzzy-set theory (Kofman, 1982), the expert evaluation method, the expert system functioning principles form the basis of this method. In order to illustrate this method the activities on enhancement of pedestrian traffic safety are selected. Considered as an example are two variants of production rules which make it possible to evaluate the selective potentials of the method. The proposed method can be used not only as an instrument of the expert system for traffic safety, but also independently. The use of this method allows most effectively spend budget funds allocated for enhancement of traffic safety.

Language: en

Keywords

costs; expert system; implementation conditions; investment attractiveness; social-and-economic effect; traffic safety