Citation

Laan A, Rokven JJ, Weijters G, Beerthuizen M. Tijdschr. Criminol. 2018; 60(1).

Vernacular Title

De daling in jeugddelinquentie: minder risico, meer bescherming?

Copyright

(Copyright © 2018, Boom juridisch)

DOI

unavailable

PMID

unavailable

Abstract

According to police statistics, Dutch juvenile crime declines annually after 2007. Declarations for the decline focus mainly on changes in macro factors, such as increased prosperity, more targeted use of police, or decline in alcohol consumption. The prevalence of self-reported juvenile delinquency also shows a decrease in the period 2005-2015. In three successive cohorts of the Self-Reported Youth Crime Monitor (2005, 2010 and 2015), changes in risk and protective factors in 12 to 18-year-olds seem to offer a possible explanation for the decline in prevalence of delinquency. Young people from the 2015 cohort indicate that they are less exposed to risk factors for juvenile delinquency, such as alcohol consumption and delinquent friends, while also reporting more protective parenting factors, such as experienced emotional support, involvement and monitoring by parents, than young people from previous cohorts. Among severely delinquent young people, exposure to individual risk behavior and delinquent friends is stable over time. This is accompanied by stability in the frequency and severity of reported offenses across the three cohorts. The sensitivity to risk and protective factors is consistent across the cohorts, regardless of the severity of delinquency. This seems to indicate a changing socio-cultural attitude towards risk behavior, including delinquency, which could provide an additional explanation for the decline in juvenile crime. Implications for theory and policy are discussed Among severely delinquent young people, exposure to individual risk behavior and delinquent friends is stable over time. This is accompanied by stability in the frequency and severity of reported offenses across the three cohorts. The sensitivity to risk and protective factors is consistent across the cohorts, regardless of the severity of delinquency. This seems to indicate a changing socio-cultural attitude towards risk behavior, including delinquency, which could provide an additional explanation for the decline in juvenile crime. Implications for theory and policy are discussed Among severely delinquent young people, exposure to individual risk behavior and delinquent friends is stable over time. This is accompanied by stability in the frequency and severity of reported offenses across the three cohorts. The sensitivity to risk and protective factors is consistent across the cohorts, regardless of the severity of delinquency. This seems to indicate a changing socio-cultural attitude towards risk behavior, including delinquency, which could provide an additional explanation for the decline in juvenile crime. Implications for theory and policy are discussed This is accompanied by stability in the frequency and severity of reported offenses across the three cohorts. The sensitivity to risk and protective factors is consistent across the cohorts, regardless of the severity of delinquency. This seems to indicate a changing socio-cultural attitude towards risk behavior, including delinquency, which could provide an additional explanation for the decline in juvenile crime. Implications for theory and policy are discussed This is accompanied by stability in the frequency and severity of reported offenses across the three cohorts. The sensitivity to risk and protective factors is consistent across the cohorts, regardless of the severity of delinquency. This seems to indicate a changing socio-cultural attitude towards risk behavior, including delinquency, which could provide an additional explanation for the decline in juvenile crime. Implications for theory and policy are discussed which could offer an additional explanation for the decline in juvenile crime. Implications for theory and policy are discussed which could offer an additional explanation for the decline in juvenile crime. Implications for theory and policy are discussed.

Volgens politiestatistieken daalt de Nederlandse jeugdcriminaliteit na 2007 jaarlijks. Verklaringen voor de daling richten zich vooral op veranderingen in macrofactoren, zoals toegenomen welvaart, meer gerichte inzet van politie, of daling in alcoholgebruik. Ook de prevalentie van zelfgerapporteerde jeugddelinquentie laat een afname zien in de periode 2005-2015. In drie opeenvolgende cohorten van de Monitor Zelfgerapporteerde Jeugdcriminaliteit (2005, 2010 en 2015) blijken veranderingen in risico- en beschermende factoren bij 12- tot 18-jarigen een mogelijke verklaring te bieden voor de daling in prevalentie van delinquentie. Jongeren uit het 2015-cohort geven aan minder blootgesteld te worden aan risicofactoren voor jeugddelinquentie, zoals alcoholgebruik en delinquente vrienden, terwijl ze ook meer beschermende opvoedingsfactoren rapporteren, zoals ervaren emotionele steun, betrokkenheid en monitoring door ouders, dan jongeren uit eerdere cohorten. Onder ernstig delinquente jongeren is de blootstelling aan individueel risicogedrag en delinquente vrienden stabiel over de tijd. Dit gaat bij deze groep gepaard met stabiliteit in de frequentie en zwaarte van gerapporteerde delicten over de drie cohorten. De gevoeligheid voor risico- en beschermende factoren blijkt consistent over de cohorten, ongeacht de ernst van delinquentie. Dit lijkt te wijzen op een veranderende sociaal-culturele houding ten aanzien van risicogedrag, waaronder delinquentie, wat een aanvullende verklaring kan bieden voor de daling in de jeugdcriminaliteit. Implicaties voor theorie en beleid worden besproken.

Trefwoorden crime drop, juvenile delinquency, risk and protective factors, ecological model, self-reported delinquency, juvenile justice

Language: nl