Citation

Cederman LE, Weidmann NB. Science 2017; 355(6324): 474-476.

Affiliation

University of Konstanz, Konstanz, Germany. lcederman@ethz.ch nils.weidmann@uni-konstanz.de.

Copyright

(Copyright © 2017, American Association for the Advancement of Science)

DOI

10.1126/science.aal4483

PMID

28154047

Abstract

This Essay provides an introduction to the general challenges of predicting political violence, particularly compared with predicting other types of events (such as earthquakes). What is possible? What is less realistic? We aim to debunk myths about predicting violence, as well as to illustrate the substantial progress in this field.

Copyright © 2017, American Association for the Advancement of Science.

Language: en