Citation

Schnyder JS, Eberli GP, Kirby JT, Shi F, Tehranirad B, Mulder T, Ducassou E, Hebbeln D, Wintersteller P. Sci. Rep. 2016; 6: e35925.

Affiliation

MARUM-Center for Marine Environmental Sciences, University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany.

Copyright

(Copyright © 2016, Nature Publishing Group)

DOI

10.1038/srep35925

PMID

27811961

Abstract

Submarine slope failures are a likely cause for tsunami generation along the East Coast of the United States. Among potential source areas for such tsunamis are submarine landslides and margin collapses of Bahamian platforms. Numerical models of past events, which have been identified using high-resolution multibeam bathymetric data, reveal possible tsunami impact on Bimini, the Florida Keys, and northern Cuba. Tsunamis caused by slope failures with terminal landslide velocity of 20 ms(-1) will either dissipate while traveling through the Straits of Florida, or generate a maximum wave of 1.5 m at the Florida coast. Modeling a worst-case scenario with a calculated terminal landslide velocity generates a wave of 4.5 m height. The modeled margin collapse in southwestern Great Bahama Bank potentially has a high impact on northern Cuba, with wave heights between 3.3 to 9.5 m depending on the collapse velocity. The short distance and travel time from the source areas to densely populated coastal areas would make the Florida Keys and Miami vulnerable to such low-probability but high-impact events.

Language: en