Citation

Ganguly S. Stud. Conflict Terrorism 1995; 18(4): 325-334.

Copyright

(Copyright © 1995, Informa - Taylor and Francis Group)

DOI

10.1080/10576109508435989

PMID

unavailable

Abstract

The incipient nuclearization of South Asia appears to have reproduced a variant of Glenn Snyder's "stability/instability paradox" in the region. The danger of escalation to the nuclear level has significantly limited the prospects of direct interstate conflict. Simultaneously, both India and Pakistan are involved in supporting indigenous insurgencies in their respective states. Decision makers in both capitals see the risks of these ventures as controllable and calculable. A combination of mutual restraint and timely U.S. intercession has prevented two recent crises, in 1987 and 1990, from escalating. Despite the successful defusing of these two crises, a combination of inadvertence and misperception may still lead to conflict escalation in the region.

Language: en