Citation

Linning SJ, Andresen MA, Brantingham PJ. Int. J. Offender Ther. Comp. Criminol. 2016; ePub(ePub): ePub.

Affiliation

Institute for Canadian Urban Research Studies, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, BC, Canada.

Copyright

(Copyright © 2016, SAGE Publishing)

DOI

10.1177/0306624X16632259

PMID

26987973

Abstract

This study investigates whether crime patterns fluctuate periodically throughout the year using data containing different property crime types in two Canadian cities with differing climates. Using police report data, a series of ordinary least squares (OLS; Vancouver, British Columbia) and negative binomial (Ottawa, Ontario) regressions were employed to examine the corresponding temporal patterns of property crime in Vancouver (2003-2013) and Ottawa (2006-2008). Moreover, both aggregate and disaggregate models were run to examine whether different weather and temporal variables had a distinctive impact on particular offences. Overall, results suggest that cities that experience greater variations in weather throughout the year have more distinct increases of property offences in the summer months and that different climate variables affect certain crime types, thus advocating for disaggregate analysis in the future.

© The Author(s) 2016.

Language: en