Citation

Hanayama N, Sibuya M. J. Gerontol. A Biol. Sci. Med. Sci. 2015; 71(8): 1014-1021.

Affiliation

Professor Emeritus, Keio University, Yokohama, Japan.

Copyright

(Copyright © 2015, Gerontological Society of America)

DOI

10.1093/gerona/glv113

PMID

26362439

Abstract

In modern biology, theories of aging fall mainly into two groups: damage theories and programed theories. If programed theories are true, the probability that human beings live beyond a specific age will be zero. In contrast, if damage theories are true, such an age does not exist, and a longevity record will be eventually destroyed. In this article, for examining real state, a special type of binomial model based on the generalized Pareto distribution has been applied to data of Japanese centenarians. From the results, it is concluded that the upper limit of lifetime probability distribution in the Japanese population has been estimated 123 years.

Language: en