Citation

Hou Q, Wu ZZ. Adv. Mater. Res. 2012; 594-597: 3040-3044.

Copyright

(Copyright © 2012, Trans Tech Publications)

DOI

10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.594-597.3040

PMID

unavailable

Abstract

The purpose of this thesis is to solve the issue that the development of the work safety usually falls behind of the development of the production, which is driven by methodology that evaluating the effectiveness of the safety management by ranking the accidents.The research provided a production accident early warning index to reflect the real time safety status in order to prevent the accident at the source, to control the process and to measure the performance. A correlation analysis was then conducted parameters that meet the requirement of confidence intervals were given. A forecasting method using both quantitative and qualitative tools was proposed and the weights of each early warning index and the correlation between the indexes were determined. Finally, a mathematical model of production accident early warning was established to generate the production accident risk index which could represent the status of work safety and its future trends to forecast and prevent the severe accidents.