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Citation |
Heising CD, Shwayri N. Reliab. Eng. 1987; 18(1): 23-33. |
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Copyright |
(Copyright © 1987, Elsevier Publishing) |
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DOI |
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PMID |
unavailable |
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Abstract |
An application of the two-stage Bayesian method has been made to estimate the outage rate of oil-fired boiler electric power plants. The two-stage approach developed and applied here represents an improved numerical analysis procedure based on the LOTUS 123 software package available for the IBM-PC. Further, it is shown that plant-specific estimates of boiler outage rates can be calculated based on generic outage data for all US oil-fired boilers, in addition to a subpopulaton of 'sister' plants. It is recommended that the two-stage approach be applied to analyze other such plant-specific outage data, especially in view of the interest among electric utilities in the life extension of such units. |