Citation

Beenstock M, Gafni D. Accid. Anal. Prev. 2000; 32(1): 71-84.

Affiliation

Department of Economics, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Mount Scopus, Israel. msbin@pluto.mscc.huji.ac.il

Copyright

(Copyright © 2000, Elsevier Publishing)

DOI

unavailable

PMID

10576678

Abstract

A theoretical model is proposed in which road safety in a single country depends upon parochial considerations, such as police enforcement, and upon global considerations, such as international road safety technology. We show that there is a non-spurious relationship between the downward trend in the rate of road accidents in Israel and the road accident rate abroad. We suggest that this reflects the international propagation of road safety technology as it is embodied in motor vehicles and road design, rather than parochial road safety policy. Recent developments in the econometric analysis of time series are used to estimate the model using data for Israel. We make no direct attempt to explain the downward trend in the rate of road accidents outside Israel.