Citation

Endean PW. Proc. IRCOBI 1975; 3: 22-30.

Copyright

(Copyright © 1975, International Research Council on Biomechanics of Injury)

DOI

unavailable

PMID

unavailable

Abstract

The resolution of the initial problems of data collection and data bank establishment are outlined, and the more salient socio-economic and travel characteristics of the region are summarized. Jeddah which is used as an illustration, also demonstrates how sensitivity tests of high and low growth were adopted to indicate the degree of flexibility required in city Master plans. This flexibility establishes a definitive plan for the low growth estimate while making provision for the high growth situation. Special consideration is given to the unusual planning implications of the Hajj with its rapidly growing numbers of pilgrims to Mecca and the adjacent Holy Areas. A series of pilot surveys were designed to test the feasibility of the proposed data collection procedures and to determine the probability of obtaining the requisite data. Details of the modeling procedure and data analysis are outlined, and the evaluation of the alternative planning strategies and of the master plan are described. It is noted that because of the lack of past data and the situation of rapid urbanization, forecasting can be difficult and results in a wide range of growth estimates. It is therefore essential to incorporate flexibility into the master plan; i.e. an initial infrastructure capable of satisfying the low estimate but with flexibility to expand, in an integrated way, to meet higher growth levels.