Citation

Miškinis P, Valuntaitė V. Transport 2010; 25(3): 237-243.

Copyright

(Copyright © 2010, Vilnius Gediminas Technical University and Lithuanian Academy of Sciences, Publisher Vilnius Gediminas Technical University (VGTU) Press)

DOI

10.3846/transport.2010.29

PMID

unavailable

Abstract

Based on statistical analysis indicating the dependence of the number of road traffic accidents on driving experience, a mathematical model of such correlation is offered. The mathematical model has been tested generating a new approximation using the eigenfunctions of the introduced model applied to draw long-term forecasts for the dependence of the number of potential road accidents on driving experience. Since we have more road traffic accidents per one hundred thousand inhabitants than other EU countries, comprehensive data analysis might also be useful for the EU community.

Keywords: road traffic accidents, driving experience, statistical analysis, mathematical model, exponential decrease, model verification.