Citation

Meyerhoefer CD, Trost R. Def. Peace Econ. 2006; 17(1): 1-21.

Copyright

(Copyright © 2006, Informa - Taylor and Francis Group)

DOI

10.1080/10242690500369298

PMID

unavailable

Abstract

Airframe fatigue has emerged as a primary determinant of tactical aircraft service life. To investigate the impact of various operational scenarios on airframe fatigue and aircraft stocks, we develop an econometric model of fatigue and arrest landing accumulation for US Naval aircraft. Model forecasts suggest that fatigue-related attrition threatens to reduce inventories below the level needed to meet operational commitments before planned replacements are available. Changes to training regimes could mitigate the shortfall, but it is likely that acquisition schedules will have to be accelerated, or current service life extension programs expanded to maintain inventories in the future.