Citation

Law T, Radin Umar RS, Zulkaurnain S, Kulanthayan S. Int. J. Inj. Control Safe. Promot. 2005; 12(1): 9-21.

Affiliation

Road Safety Research Center University Putra Malaysia 43400 UPM Serdang Selangor Malaysia.

Copyright

(Copyright © 2005, Informa - Taylor and Francis Group)

DOI

10.1080/17457300512331339166

PMID

15814371

Abstract

In 1997, a Motorcycle Safety Programme (MSP) was introduced to address the motorcycle-related accident problem. The MSP was specifically targeted at motorcyclists. In addition to the MSP, the recent economic recession has significantly contributed to a reduction of traffic-related incidents. This paper examines the effects of the recent economic crisis and the MSP on motorcycle-related accidents, casualties and fatalities in Malaysia. The autocorrelation integrated moving average model with transfer function was used to evaluate the overall effects of the interventions. The variables used in developing the model were gross domestic product and MSPs. The analysis found a 25% reduction in the number of motorcycle-related accidents, a 27% reduction in motorcycle casualties and a 38% reduction in motorcycle fatalities after the implementation of MSP. Findings indicate that the MSP has been one of the effective measures in reducing motorcycle safety problems in Malaysia. Apart from that, the performance of the country's economy was also found to be significant in explaining the number of motorcycle-related accidents, casualties and fatalities in Malaysia.