TY - JOUR PY - 2024// TI - Anticipating influential factors on suicide outcomes through machine learning techniques: insights from a suicide registration program in western Iran JO - Asian journal of psychiatry A1 - Matinnia, Nasrin A1 - Alafchi, Behnaz A1 - Haddadi, Arya A1 - Ghaleiha, Ali A1 - Davari, Hasan A1 - Karami, Manochehr A1 - Taslimi, Zahra A1 - Afkhami, Mohammad Reza A1 - Yazdi-Ravandi, Saeid SP - e104183 EP - e104183 VL - 100 IS - N2 - Suicide is a global public health concern, with increasing rates observed in various regions, including Iran. This study focuses on the province of Hamadan, Iran, where suicide rates have been on the rise. The research aims to predict factors influencing suicide outcomes by leveraging machine learning techniques on the Hamadan Suicide Registry Program data collected from 2016 to 2017. The study employs Naïve Bayes and Random Forest algorithms, comparing their performance to logistic regression.

RESULTS highlight the superiority of the Random Forest model. Based on the variable importance and multiple logistic regression analyses, the most important determinants of suicide outcomes were identified as suicide method, age, and timing of attempts, income, and motivation. The findings emphasize the cultural context's impact on suicide methods and underscore the importance of tailoring prevention programs to address specific risk factors, especially for older individuals. This study contributes valuable insights for suicide prevention efforts in the region, advocating for context-specific interventions and further research to refine predictive models and develop targeted prevention strategies.

Language: en

LA - en SN - 1876-2018 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ajp.2024.104183 ID - ref1 ER -