TY  - JOUR
PY  - 2023//
TI  - The prediction of exit choice using cumulative prospect value
JO  - Journal of safety science and resilience
A1  - Gao, Dongli
A1  - Xie, Wei
A1  - Cao, Ruifeng
A1  - Lee, Eric Wai Ming
A1  - Yuen, Richard Kwok Kit
A1  - Weng, Jingwen
SP  - 20
EP  - 25
VL  - 4
IS  - 1
N2  - Exit choice is essential for pedestrian safety and evacuation efficiency during the context of an emergency. Cumulative prospect theory is a widespread realistic decision-making theory that can transform choice outcomes and probabilities into subjective terms and integrate them as a parameter of cumulative prospect value (CPV), which determines the decision. The main contribution of this paper is the use of the CPV to predict exit choice. Furthermore, the different decision-making rules including Max, exponential(Expo), and Ratio (i.e., the three variable choice functions) were summarized and examined. This study used a confusion matrix to compare the predicted results with experimental data. Consequently, the parameters of Accuracy and F1-score showed that the predictions from Max and Expo were significantly more realistic while the results from Ratio were much more robust.<p />  <p>Language: en</p>
LA  - en
SN  - 2096-7527
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jnlssr.2022.09.003
ID  - ref1
ER  -