TY  - JOUR
PY  - 2020//
TI  - Unravelling the influence of human behaviour on reducing casualties during flood evacuation
JO  - Hydrological Sciences Journal
A1  - Alonso Vicario, S.
A1  - Mazzoleni, M.
A1  - Bhamidipati, S.
A1  - Gharesifard, M.
A1  - Ridolfi, E.
A1  - Pandolfo, C.
A1  - Alfonso, L.
SP  - 2359
EP  - 2375
VL  - 65
IS  - 14
N2  - Floods are the natural hazards that are causing the most deaths worldwide. Flood early warning systems are one of the most cost-efficient methods to reduce death rates, triggering decisions about the evacuation of exposed population. Although previous studies have investigated the effect of human behaviours on evacuation processes, studies analysing a combination of behaviours, flood onset and warning timing are limited. Our objective is to explore how changes on the aforementioned factors can affect casualties. This is done within a modelling framework that includes an agent-based model, a hydraulic model, and a traffic model, which is implemented for the case study of Orvieto (Italy). The results show that the number of casualties is most impacted by people's behaviour. Besides, we found that a delay of 30 min in releasing the warning can boost the number of casualties up to six times. These results may help managers to propose effective emergency plans.<p />  <p>Language: en</p>
LA  - en
SN  - 0262-6667
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2020.1810254
ID  - ref1
ER  -