TY - JOUR PY - 2021// TI - A longitudinal car-following risk assessment model based on risk field theory for autonomous vehicles JO - International journal of transportation science and technology A1 - Wu, Bing A1 - Yan, Yan A1 - Ni, Daiheng A1 - Li, Linbo SP - 60 EP - 68 VL - 10 IS - 1 N2 - This paper proposes a risk assessment method based on trajectory data which are used to quantify the risk faced by drivers for application in autonomous vehicles. A risk field is derived from the field theory of traffic flow, based on which the risk repulsion indicator of car-following is determined. By describing the repulsion force perceived by drivers in the process of car-following, the risk faced by drivers is assessed. The validity of the indicator is established from crash trajectory data obtained by simulation, and a binary logit model is employed to predict the crash. The result shows that the risk repulsion indicator based on risk field theory can distinguish crash states and non-crash states significantly. The prediction accuracy of binary logit model based on risk repulsion performs better than that of crash prediction model based on loop detector data.

Language: en

LA - en SN - 2046-0430 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijtst.2020.05.005 ID - ref1 ER -