TY  - JOUR
PY  - 2021//
TI  - The association between crashes and safety-critical events: synthesized evidence from crash reports and naturalistic driving data among commercial truck drivers
JO  - Transportation research part C: emerging technologies
A1  - Cai, Miao
A1  - Yazdi, Mohammad Ali Alamdar
A1  - Mehdizadeh, Amir
A1  - Hu, Qiong
A1  - Vinel, Alexander
A1  - Davis, Karen
A1  - Xian, Hong
A1  - Megahed, Fadel M.
A1  - Rigdon, Steven E.
SP  - 103016
EP  - 103016
VL  - 126
IS  - 
N2  - The past decade has witnessed continuous growth of naturalistic driving studies (NDSs). When analysing NDS data, safety-critical events (SCEs) are commonly used as surrogates for safety, since actual crashes are very rare. However, the association between SCEs and crashes is not consistent in previous studies and has not been verified among commercial truck drivers. Based on routinely collected kinematic data from 31,828 truck drivers in a large commercial trucking company, this paper examines the association between four types of SCEs (headway, hard brake, collision mitigation, and rolling stability) and crashes, as well as injuries and fatalities. Compared to existing studies on the subject, that are based on up to about 2 million miles driven, our study involves an estimated 2.3 billion miles driven. Bayesian negative binomial models were applied to examine the association between three outcomes (crashes, injuries, and fatalities) and the four SCEs. It was found that a unit increase in the number of any type of SCEs per 10,000 miles was associated with 8.4% (95% credible interval (CI): 8.0-8.8%) increase in crashes per mile and 8.7% (95% CI: 4.8-13.6%) increase in the number of injuries per mile. The increase was different in different types of SCEs: 3.3% (95% CI: 2.6-4%) for headways, 8.1% (95% CI: 7.5-8.7%) for hard brakes, 50.4% (95% CI: 41.4-60%) for rolling stability, and 22.2% (95% CI: 19.8-24.5%) for collision mitigation. The results are consistent when stratified by different business units and driver types. This study provides statistically strong and robust evidence that SCEs are positively associated with crashes and injuries among commercial truck drivers. NDS and kinematic data routinely collected by trucking companies provide a promising opportunity for future data analytic research.<p />  <p>Language: en</p>
LA  - en
SN  - 0968-090X
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.trc.2021.103016
ID  - ref1
ER  -