TY - JOUR PY - 2020// TI - Cognition, conflict, and doctrine: how groupthink fails on a Clausewitz landscape JO - Journal of defense modeling and simulation: applications, methodology, technology A1 - Wallace, Rodrick SP - 137 EP - 142 VL - 17 IS - 2 N2 - Real-time conflict takes place on Clausewitz landscapes most notably marked by fog-of-war and frictional limits, uncertainties, and misperceptions. Imposition of such factors on an opponent is, in fact, a standard tactic of confrontation, from courts of law to commerce, from political campaigns to the battlefield. Time-constrained optimization models of institutional effectiveness, based on 'anytime algorithm' methods, suggest that the burden of doctrinal groupthink may become synergistic with fog-of-war and friction to greatly compromise the ability of an institution to respond to shadow price demands imposed by a contending agent or environment. A different, and more direct, approach via a 'simple' stochastic model, provides similar insight.

Language: en

LA - en SN - 1548-5129 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1548512919843642 ID - ref1 ER -