TY - JOUR PY - 2019// TI - Modeling traveler recovery time following man-made incidents: the case of the Athens metro JO - Journal of transportation security A1 - Milioti, Christina A1 - Kepaptsoglou, Konstantinos A1 - Deloukas, Alexandros A1 - Prodromitis, Gerasimos A1 - Iliopoulou, Christina SP - 103 EP - 117 VL - 12 IS - 3 N2 - Man-man, life-threating incidents such as terrorist attacks, can have a significant impact in travel behavior and public transport ridership. Based on data collected from an extensive personal interview survey undertaken in Athens (Greece), factors affecting post-incident recovery time of metro users (i.e. the time till travelers will start re-using the metro system) are investigated and modeled. A preliminary statistical analysis reveals that most survey participants would return in the metro system within a week, while almost 16% of them exhibits a persistent change in traveler behavior as they would avoid using the metro system for more than 6 months. A clustering methodology and a discrete duration model are applied to further analyze and model metro user recovery time.

RESULTS show that women, less educated travelers, non-frequent users and travelers with higher risk perception, are less likely to use the metro system after a man-made incident.

Language: en

LA - en SN - 1938-7741 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s12198-019-00205-y ID - ref1 ER -