TY - JOUR
PY - 2019//
TI - Modeling traveler recovery time following man-made incidents: the case of the Athens metro
JO - Journal of transportation security
A1 - Milioti, Christina
A1 - Kepaptsoglou, Konstantinos
A1 - Deloukas, Alexandros
A1 - Prodromitis, Gerasimos
A1 - Iliopoulou, Christina
SP - 103
EP - 117
VL - 12
IS - 3
N2 - Man-man, life-threating incidents such as terrorist attacks, can have a significant impact in travel behavior and public transport ridership. Based on data collected from an extensive personal interview survey undertaken in Athens (Greece), factors affecting post-incident recovery time of metro users (i.e. the time till travelers will start re-using the metro system) are investigated and modeled. A preliminary statistical analysis reveals that most survey participants would return in the metro system within a week, while almost 16% of them exhibits a persistent change in traveler behavior as they would avoid using the metro system for more than 6 months. A clustering methodology and a discrete duration model are applied to further analyze and model metro user recovery time.
RESULTS show that women, less educated travelers, non-frequent users and travelers with higher risk perception, are less likely to use the metro system after a man-made incident.
Language: en
LA - en SN - 1938-7741 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s12198-019-00205-y ID - ref1 ER -