TY - JOUR PY - 2019// TI - Analysis of evacuation destination and departure time choices for no-notice emergency events JO - Transportmetrica A: transport science A1 - Golshani, Nima A1 - Shabanpour, Ramin A1 - Mohammadian, Abolfazl (Kouros) A1 - Auld, Joshua A1 - Ley, Hubert SP - 896 EP - 914 VL - 15 IS - 2 N2 - Over the past decades, both the frequency and severity of disastrous events have increased all over the world. Thus far, many studies have focused on people's evacuation behaviour during advance-notice events. However, little is known about their behaviour during no-notice events mainly because of the scarcity of available data. In an effort to address such a gap, this study presents a joint model to estimate evacuee's destination and departure time choices in the context of no-notice emergency events. These two critical decisions can directly influence spatial and temporal traffic distributions in the network in case of disastrous events. A copula-based joint structure is proposed to explore the interdependencies between these evacuation attributes that stem from the shared factors influencing them and/or the causal effects that they might have on each other.
Language: en
LA - en SN - 2324-9935 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/23249935.2018.1546778 ID - ref1 ER -