TY - JOUR PY - 2019// TI - Integrating macro- and micro-level safety analyses: a Bayesian approach incorporating spatial interaction JO - Transportmetrica A: transport science A1 - Cai, Qing A1 - Abdel-Aty, Mohamed A1 - Lee, Jaeyoung A1 - Huang, Helai SP - 285 EP - 306 VL - 15 IS - 2 N2 - Traditionally, crash frequency analyses have been undertaken at the macro- and micro-levels, independently. This study proposes a Bayesian integrated spatial crash frequency model, which links the crash counts of macro- and micro-levels based on the spatial interaction. In addition, the proposed model considers the spatial autocorrelation of the different types of road entities (i.e. segments and intersections) at the micro-level with a joint structure. The modelling results indicated that the integrated model can provide better model performance for estimating macro- and micro-level crash counts, which validates the concept of integrating the models for the two levels. Also, the integrated model could simultaneously identify both macro- and micro-level factors contributing to the crash occurrence. Subsequently, a novel hotspot identification method was suggested, which enables us to detect hotspots for both macro- and micro-levels with comprehensive information from the two levels.
Language: en
LA - en SN - 2324-9935 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/23249935.2018.1471752 ID - ref1 ER -