TY - JOUR PY - 2019// TI - Community distress predicts youth gun violence JO - Journal of pediatric surgery A1 - Tracy, Brett M. A1 - Smith, Randi N. A1 - Miller, Krista A1 - Clayton, Eric A1 - Bailey, Kathryn A1 - Gerrin, Carrol A1 - Eversley-Kelso, Tatiana A1 - Carney, David A1 - MacNew, Heather SP - ePub EP - ePub VL - ePub IS - ePub N2 - BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study was to investigate our institution's experience with pediatric firearm events. We sought to determine the relationship between a community's level of socioeconomic distress and the incidence of youth gun violence.

METHODS: We performed a retrospective review of children <18 years involved in firearm events. Using visual cluster analysis, we portrayed all firearm events and violent firearm events (assaults + homicides). Distressed community indices (DCIs) were obtained from an interface that uses US Census Bureau data. Incident rate ratios (IRRs) were calculated for firearm circumstances (i.e. assault, homicide, suicide) using a DCI. Significant IRRs were analyzed to discern which DCI metrics contributed most to gun violence.

RESULTS: There were 114 children involved in firearm events; 66 were county residents. The DCI of injury location significantly predicted total firearm events (IRR 1.02, 95% CI 1.01-1.03), assaults (IRR 1.02, 95% CI 1.01-1.05), and violent firearm events (IRR 1.03, 95% CI 1.01-1.05). The proportion of adults without a high school diploma, poverty rate, median income ratio, and housing vacancy rate were highly predictive of gun violence (VIP >1).

CONCLUSION: Community distress significantly predicts pediatric firearm violence. Local interventions should target neighborhoods with high levels of distress to prevent further youth gun violence. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Retrospective study, IV.

Copyright © 2019 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

Language: en

LA - en SN - 0022-3468 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jpedsurg.2019.03.021 ID - ref1 ER -