TY - JOUR PY - 2018// TI - Global mortality from firearms, 1990-2016 JO - JAMA journal of the American Medical Association A1 - Naghavi, Mohsen A1 - Marczak, Laurie B. A1 - Kutz, Michael A1 - Shackelford, Katya Anne A1 - Arora, Megha A1 - Miller-Petrie, Molly A1 - Aichour, Miloud Taki Eddine A1 - Akseer, Nadia A1 - Al-Raddadi, Rajaa M. A1 - Alam, Khurshid A1 - Alghnam, Suliman A. A1 - Antonio, Carl Abelardo T. A1 - Aremu, Olatunde A1 - Arora, Amit A1 - Asadi-Lari, Mohsen A1 - Assadi, Reza A1 - Atey, Tesfay Mehari A1 - Avila-Burgos, Leticia A1 - Awasthi, Ashish A1 - Ayala Quintanilla, Beatriz Paulina A1 - Barker-Collo, Suzanne Lyn A1 - Bärnighausen, Till Winfried A1 - Bazargan-Hejazi, Shahrzad A1 - Behzadifar, Masoud A1 - Behzadifar, Meysam A1 - Bennett, James R. A1 - Bhalla, Ashish A1 - Bhutta, Zulfiqar A. A1 - Bilal, Arebu Issa A1 - Borges, Guilherme L. G. A1 - Borschmann, Rohan A1 - Brazinova, Alexandra A1 - Campuzano Rincon, Julio Cesar A1 - Carvalho, Felix A1 - Castañeda-Orjuela, Carlos A. A1 - Dandona, Lalit A1 - Dandona, Rakhi A1 - Dargan, Paul I. A1 - De Leo, Diego A1 - Dharmaratne, Samath Dhamminda A1 - Ding, Eric L. A1 - Phuc Do, Huyen A1 - Doku, David Teye A1 - Doyle, Kerrie E. A1 - Driscoll, Tim Robert A1 - Edessa, Dumessa A1 - El-Khatib, Ziad A1 - Endries, Aman Yesuf A1 - Esteghamati, Alireza A1 - Faro, Andre A1 - Farzadfar, Farshad A1 - Feigin, Valery L. A1 - Fischer, Florian A1 - Foreman, Kyle J. A1 - Franklin, Richard Charles A1 - Fullman, Nancy A1 - Futran, Neal D. A1 - Gebrehiwot, Tsegaye Tewelde A1 - Gutiérrez, Reyna Alma A1 - Hafezi-Nejad, Nima A1 - Haghparast-Bidgoli, Hassan A1 - Hailu, Gessessew Bugssa A1 - Haro, Josep Maria A1 - Hassen, Hamid Yimam A1 - Hawley, Caitlin A1 - Hendrie, Delia A1 - Hijar, Martha A1 - Hu, Guoqing A1 - Ilesanmi, Olayinka Stephen A1 - Jakovljevic, Mihajlo A1 - James, Spencer L. A1 - Jayaraman, Sudha A1 - Jonas, Jost B. A1 - Kahsay, Amaha A1 - Kasaeian, Amir A1 - Keiyoro, Peter Njenga A1 - Khader, Yousef A1 - Khalil, Ibrahim A. A1 - Khang, Young-Ho A1 - Khubchandani, Jagdish A1 - Ahmad Kiadaliri, Aliasghar A1 - Kieling, Christian A1 - Kim, Yun Jin A1 - Kosen, Soewarta A1 - Krohn, Kristopher J. A1 - Kumar, G. Anil A1 - Lami, Faris Hasan A1 - Lansingh, Van C. A1 - Larson, Heidi Jane A1 - Linn, Shai A1 - Lunevicius, Raimundas A1 - Magdy Abd El Razek, Hassan A1 - Magdy Abd El Razek, Muhammed A1 - Malekzadeh, Reza A1 - Carvalho Malta, Deborah A1 - Mason-Jones, Amanda J. A1 - Matzopoulos, Richard A1 - Memiah, Peter T. N. A1 - Mendoza, Walter A1 - Meretoja, Tuomo J. A1 - Mezgebe, Haftay Berhane A1 - Miller, Ted R. A1 - Mohammed, Shafiu A1 - Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar A1 - Mori, Rintaro A1 - Nand, Devina A1 - Tat Nguyen, Cuong A1 - Le Nguyen, Quyen A1 - Ningrum, Dina Nur Anggraini A1 - Akpojene Ogbo, Felix A1 - Olagunju, Andrew T. A1 - Patton, George C. A1 - Phillips, Michael R. A1 - Polinder, Suzanne A1 - Pourmalek, Farshad A1 - Qorbani, Mostafa A1 - Rahimi-Movaghar, Afarin A1 - Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa A1 - Rahman, Mahfuzar A1 - Rai, Rajesh Kumar A1 - Ranabhat, Chhabi Lal A1 - Rawaf, David Laith A1 - Rawaf, Salman A1 - Rowhani-Rahbar, Ali A1 - Safdarian, Mahdi A1 - Safiri, Saeid A1 - Sagar, Rajesh A1 - Salama, Joseph S. A1 - Sanabria, Juan A1 - Santric Milicevic, Milena M. A1 - Sarmiento-Suárez, Rodrigo A1 - Sartorius, Benn A1 - Satpathy, Maheswar A1 - Schwebel, David C. A1 - Seedat, Soraya A1 - Sepanlou, Sadaf G. A1 - Shaikh, Masood Ali A1 - Sharew, Nigussie Tadesse A1 - Shiue, Ivy A1 - Singh, Jasvinder A. A1 - Sisay, Mekonnen A1 - Skirbekk, Vegard A1 - Soares Filho, Adauto Martins A1 - Stein, Dan J. A1 - Stokes, Mark Andrew A1 - Sufiyan, Mu'awiyyah Babale A1 - Swaroop, Mamta A1 - Sykes, Bryan L. A1 - Tabarés-Seisdedos, Rafael A1 - Tadese, Fentaw A1 - Tran, Bach Xuan A1 - Thanh Tran, Tung A1 - Ukwaja, Kingsley Nnanna A1 - Vasankari, Tommi Juhani A1 - Vlassov, Vasily A1 - Werdecker, Andrea A1 - Ye, Pengpeng A1 - Yip, Paul A1 - Yonemoto, Naohiro A1 - Younis, Mustafa Z. A1 - Zaidi, Zoubida A1 - El Sayed Zaki, Maysaa A1 - Hay, Simon I. A1 - Lim, Stephen S. A1 - Lopez, Alan D. A1 - Mokdad, Ali H. A1 - Vos, Theo A1 - Murray, Christopher J. L. SP - 792 EP - 814 VL - 320 IS - 8 N2 - IMPORTANCE: Understanding global variation in firearm mortality rates could guide prevention policies and interventions.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate mortality due to firearm injury deaths from 1990 to 2016 in 195 countries and territories.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This study used deidentified aggregated data including 13 812 location-years of vital registration data to generate estimates of levels and rates of death by age-sex-year-location. The proportion of suicides in which a firearm was the lethal means was combined with an estimate of per capita gun ownership in a revised proxy measure used to evaluate the relationship between availability or access to firearms and firearm injury deaths.

EXPOSURES: Firearm ownership and access.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Cause-specific deaths by age, sex, location, and year.

RESULTS: Worldwide, it was estimated that 251 000 (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 195 000-276 000) people died from firearm injuries in 2016, with 6 countries (Brazil, United States, Mexico, Colombia, Venezuela, and Guatemala) accounting for 50.5% (95% UI, 42.2%-54.8%) of those deaths. In 1990, there were an estimated 209 000 (95% UI, 172 000 to 235 000) deaths from firearm injuries. Globally, the majority of firearm injury deaths in 2016 were homicides (64.0% [95% UI, 54.2%-68.0%]; absolute value, 161 000 deaths [95% UI, 107 000-182 000]); additionally, 27% were firearm suicide deaths (67 500 [95% UI, 55 400-84 100]) and 9% were unintentional firearm deaths (23 000 [95% UI, 18 200-24 800]). From 1990 to 2016, there was no significant decrease in the estimated global age-standardized firearm homicide rate (-0.2% [95% UI, -0.8% to 0.2%]). Firearm suicide rates decreased globally at an annualized rate of 1.6% (95% UI, 1.1-2.0), but in 124 of 195 countries and territories included in this study, these levels were either constant or significant increases were estimated. There was an annualized decrease of 0.9% (95% UI, 0.5%-1.3%) in the global rate of age-standardized firearm deaths from 1990 to 2016. Aggregate firearm injury deaths in 2016 were highest among persons aged 20 to 24 years (for men, an estimated 34 700 deaths [95% UI, 24 900-39 700] and for women, an estimated 3580 deaths [95% UI, 2810-4210]). Estimates of the number of firearms by country were associated with higher rates of firearm suicide (P < .001; R2 = 0.21) and homicide (P < .001; R2 = 0.35).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: This study estimated between 195 000 and 276 000 firearm injury deaths globally in 2016, the majority of which were firearm homicides. Despite an overall decrease in rates of firearm injury death since 1990, there was variation among countries and across demographic subgroups.

Language: en

LA - en SN - 0098-7484 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1001/jama.2018.10060 ID - ref1 ER -