TY - JOUR PY - 2019// TI - Accuracy of clinician predictions of future self-harm: a systematic review and meta-analysis of predictive studies JO - Suicide and life-threatening behavior A1 - Woodford, Rachel A1 - Spittal, Matthew J. A1 - Milner, Allison A1 - McGill, Katie A1 - Kapur, Navneet A1 - Pirkis, Jane A1 - Mitchell, Alex A1 - Carter, Gregory SP - 23 EP - 40 VL - 49 IS - 1 N2 - Assessment of a patient after hospital-treated self-harm or psychiatric hospitalization often includes a risk assessment, resulting in a classification of high risk versus low risk for a future episode of self-harm. Through systematic review and a series of meta-analyses looking at unassisted clinician risk classification (eight studies; N = 22,499), we found pooled estimates for sensitivity 0.31 (95% CI: 0.18-0.50), specificity 0.85 (0.75-0.92), positive predictive value 0.22 (0.21-0.23), and negative predictive value 0.89 (0.86-0.92). Clinician classification was too inaccurate to be clinically useful. After-care should therefore be allocated on the basis of a needs rather than risk assessment.

© 2017 The American Association of Suicidology.

Language: en

LA - en SN - 0363-0234 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/sltb.12395 ID - ref1 ER -