TY - JOUR PY - 2016// TI - Predicting injury: challenges in prospective injury risk factor identification JO - Journal of athletic training A1 - Clifton, Daniel R. A1 - Grooms, Dustin R. A1 - Hertel, Jay A1 - Onate, James A. SP - 658 EP - 661 VL - 51 IS - 8 N2 - CONTEXT: Musculoskeletal injury-prediction methods vary and may have limitations that affect the accuracy of results and clinical meaningfulness.

BACKGROUND: Research examining injury risk factors is meaningful, but attempting to extrapolate injury risk from studies that do not prospectively assess injury occurrence may limit clinical applications. Injury incidence is a vital outcome measure, which allows for the appropriate interpretation of injury-prediction analyses; a lack of injury-incidence data may decrease the accuracy and increase the uncertainty of injury-risk estimates. Extrapolating results that predict an injury risk factor to predicting actual injuries may lead to inappropriate clinical decision-making models.

CONCLUSIONS: Improved understanding of the limitations of injury-prediction methods, specifically those that do not prospectively assess injuries, will allow clinicians to better assess the clinical meaningfulness of the results.

Language: en

LA - en SN - 1062-6050 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.4085/1062-6050-51.11.03 ID - ref1 ER -