TY - JOUR PY - 2007// TI - Bicyclist injury severities in bicycle-motor vehicle accidents JO - Accident analysis and prevention A1 - Kim, Joon-Ki A1 - Kim, Sungyop A1 - Ulfarsson, Gudmundur F. A1 - Porrello, Luis A. SP - 238 EP - 251 VL - 39 IS - 2 N2 - This research explores the factors contributing to the injury severity of bicyclists in bicycle-motor vehicle accidents using a multinomial logit model. The model predicts the probability of four injury severity outcomes: fatal, incapacitating, non-incapacitating, and possible or no injury. The analysis is based on police-reported accident data between 1997 and 2002 from North Carolina, USA. The results show several factors which more than double the probability of a bicyclist suffering a fatal injury in an accident, all other things being kept constant. Notably, inclement weather, darkness with no streetlights, a.m. peak (06:00a.m. to 09:59a.m.), head-on collision, speeding-involved, vehicle speeds above 48.3km/h (30mph), truck involved, intoxicated driver, bicyclist age 55 or over, and intoxicated bicyclist. The largest effect is caused when estimated vehicle speed prior to impact is greater than 64.4km/h (50mph), where the probability of fatal injury increases more than 16-fold. Speed also shows a threshold effect at 32.2km/h (20mph), which supports the commonly used 30km/h speed limit in residential neighborhoods. The results also imply that bicyclist fault is more closely correlated with greater bicyclist injury severity than driver fault.

Language: en

LA - en SN - 0001-4575 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2006.07.002 ID - ref1 ER -