TY - JOUR PY - 2005// TI - An empirical modeling approach to recidivism classification JO - Criminal justice and behavior A1 - Dow, Edward A1 - Jones, Charles A1 - Mott, Jack SP - 223 EP - 247 VL - 32 IS - 2 N2 - A nonlinear, exemplar-based empirical modeling methodology was applied to the problem of classifying relative levels of recidivism risk in a population of released offenders from the Wisconsin Department of Corrections. Issues related to extracting relatively pure classes of exemplars from relatively ambiguous data are detailed. Risk was defined as the associative match to one of two exemplar groups; higher or lower risk offenders. The area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve for 620 offenders examined in the initial subgroup was.94. Comparable results were found with a smaller validation sample of 408 offenders known to be higher risk. Implications of controlling for risk factor patterns are discussed.
Language: en
LA - en SN - 0093-8548 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0093854804272892 ID - ref1 ER -