TY - JOUR PY - 1998// TI - Recidivism base rates, predictions of sex offender recidivism, and the "sexual predator" commitment laws JO - Behavioral sciences and the law A1 - Doren, Dennis M. SP - 97 EP - 114 VL - 16 IS - 1 N2 - Predictions of future sexual offending have been mandated by various "Sexual Predator" commitment laws, despite historical arguments that clinicians are frequently inaccurate and over-predict violence. The basis for those arguments has been the perspective that sexual recidivism is a relatively rare event. Research is reviewed, however, with the finding that sexual recidivism for certain offenders is a rather common occurrence when the definition of recidivism is in keeping with the sex offender commitment laws. This finding is used to demonstrate that under-, rather than over-prediction of the designated violence is necessarily today's practice. Practical and ethical implications are discussed. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Language: en
LA - en SN - 0735-3936 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/(SICI)1099-0798(199824)16:1<97::AID-BSL295>3.0.CO;2-K ID - ref1 ER -