TY - JOUR PY - 2009// TI - A negative binomial model for time series of counts JO - Biometrika A1 - Davis, Richard A. A1 - Wu, Rongning SP - 735 EP - 749 VL - 96 IS - 3 N2 - We study generalized linear models for time series of counts, where serial dependence is introduced through a dependent latent process in the link function. Conditional on the covariates and the latent process, the observation is modelled by a negative binomial distribution. To estimate the regression coefficients, we maximize the pseudolikelihood that is based on a generalized linear model with the latent process suppressed. We show the consistency and asymptotic normality of the generalized linear model estimator when the latent process is a stationary strongly mixing process. We extend the asymptotic results to generalized linear models for time series, where the observation variable, conditional on covariates and a latent process, is assumed to have a distribution from a one-parameter exponential family. Thus, we unify in a common framework the results for Poisson log-linear regression models of Davis et al. (2000), negative binomial logit regression models and other similarly specified generalized linear models.
Language: en
LA - en SN - 0006-3444 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/biomet/asp029 ID - ref1 ER -