TY - JOUR PY - 2014// TI - Predictors of injurious falls and fear of falling differ: an 11-year longitudinal study of incident events in older people JO - Journal of aging and health A1 - Clemson, Lindy A1 - Kendig, Hal A1 - Mackenzie, Lynette A1 - Browning, Colette SP - 239 EP - 256 VL - 27 IS - 2 N2 - OBJECTIVE: The objective of the study is to identify the intrinsic, psychosocial and lifestyle factors, which, over time, predict the incidence of having a fall requiring medical attention (injurious fall) or of acquiring a fear of falling (FOF).

METHOD: Data from 1,000 participants in the Melbourne Longitudinal Studies on Healthy Ageing (MELSHA, 1994-2005) were analyzed using cox regressions and hazard ratios.

RESULTS: The predictors of injurious falls (n = 900, events = 200) were increasing age, slower gait speed, and being depressed. Main predictors of developing a FOF (n = 855, events =117) were increasing age, cognitive impairment, reduced social activity, and gender. A history of falls at baseline did not predict acquiring a FOF nor did FOF predict a future fall.

DISCUSSION: The profile of the person who will have an injurious fall differs from the profile of the person who develops a FOF and should be considered when designing interventions.

Language: en

LA - en SN - 0898-2643 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0898264314546716 ID - ref1 ER -