TY - JOUR PY - 1985// TI - Derivation of a bioclinical prognostic index in severe head injury JO - Intensive care medicine A1 - Hans, P. A1 - Albert, A. A1 - Born, J. D. A1 - Chapelle, J. P. SP - 186 EP - 191 VL - 11 IS - 4 N2 - We investigated the problem of outcome prediction from seven risk factors in 40 severely head injured patients - 13 favorable and 27 unfavorable outcomes. By applying stepwise logistic discriminant analysis to the patients' data, we selected three significant risk variables: cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) CK-BB isoenzyme activity recorded on admission, severely raised intracranial pressure (more than 40 mmHg) and age, respectively. CSF CK-BB activity, which quantifies the initial neurological damage, proved to be the best prognostic factor. The presence of severe intracranial hypertension was always associated with a bad outcome, whereas its absence was not necessarily indicative of good prognosis. Finally, we combined the three selected variables into a single risk index, which allowed correct predictions in 92% of patients with favorable outcome and in 85% of patients with unfavorable outcome (total predictive efficiency 88%).

Language: en

LA - en SN - 0342-4642 UR - http://dx.doi.org/ ID - ref1 ER -