TY  - JOUR
PY  - 1999//
TI  - Traffic fatalities, Peltzman's model, and directed graphs
JO  - Accident analysis and prevention
A1  - Roh, J. W.
A1  - Bessler, D. A.
A1  - Gilbert, R. F.
SP  - 55
EP  - 61
VL  - 31
IS  - 1-2
N2  - We show how statistical methods based on directed graphs may be useful in modeling traffic fatalities by comparing models specified using directed graphs to a model originally developed by Peltzman. The comparison uses Peltzman's original data, as well as up-dated data (and coefficients) through 1993. Out-of-sample forecasts of traffic fatalities from Peltzman's model are compared with those from a model constructed using directed graphs over data for the more recent period. The directed graphs model outperforms Peltzman's model in root mean squared forecast error.
LA  - en
SN  - 0001-4575
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/
ID  - ref1
ER  -