TY - JOUR PY - 1998// TI - Information integration in child welfare cases: an introduction to statistical decision making JO - Child maltreatment A1 - Ruscio, John SP - 143 EP - 156 VL - 3 IS - 2 N2 - Workers in the field of child maltreatment are required to make many complex and far-reaching decisions every week. In this article, two general methods for formulating decision-making policies are presented, along with a discussion of the considerable research literature demonstrating the superior predictive validity of statistical decision models over clinical prediction. A series of illustrative contrasts between the two approaches highlights the desirable mathematical properties of statistical equations as well as the cognitive biases and limitations inherent in unaided human judgment. Reasons for practitioners' adherence to the clinical approach are explored, with specific reference to child welfare decision making. Finally, recommendations are provided for enhancing the efficiency, validity, and ethical defensibility of decision making that seriously impacts the lives of children and their families.
Language: en
LA - en SN - 1077-5595 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1077559598003002008 ID - ref1 ER -